Meeting minutes suggest the Fed desires greater certainty that inflation is progressing towards 2% target

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At Extreme Investor Network, we pride ourselves on providing unique and valuable information to help you make the most informed financial decisions. Today, we are diving into the latest developments from the Federal Reserve meeting in March.

Fed Expresses Concerns about Inflation

During their March meeting, Federal Reserve officials discussed their concerns about inflation not decreasing at the expected pace. While they still anticipated a rate cut later in the year, policymakers were wary that inflation was not easing in a convincing manner. The Fed’s benchmark rate currently stands between 5.25%-5.5%.

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Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to maintain the language in their post-meeting statement, emphasizing that they would only consider cutting rates once they were more certain about inflation moving towards the central bank’s 2% annual target.

The discussion highlighted geopolitical risks, rising energy prices, and the impact of looser policy on inflation. While concerns about a more balanced labor market, technological advancements, and economic weaknesses in China were also mentioned.

CPI Validates Inflation Concerns

The release of the consumer price index (CPI) in March supported the Fed’s concerns, showing a 12-month inflation rate of 3.5%. This was higher than market expectations and indicated a potential trend of sustained inflationary pressures.

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Following the CPI release, market expectations for rate cuts shifted, with the first cut now anticipated in September. The discussion at the meeting suggested a willingness to adjust policy to a less restrictive stance if the economy evolves as expected.

Additionally, officials discussed the possibility of ending the balance sheet reduction, known as “quantitative tightening.” While no decisions were made, there was an indication that the process would start soon and proceed cautiously.

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