Play defense with these dividend payers that consistently buy back shares: Wolfe Research

Reliable Dividend Stocks with Steady Buybacks Offer Stability and Growth Potential for Investors

Trying to keep your money safe in the stock market can feel a lot like driving on a bumpy road—you need a good plan to avoid the potholes. One smart way to do this is by looking at companies that buy back their own stock and pay steady dividends.

Why Stock Buybacks Matter for Investors

When a company buys back its own shares, it’s like a pizza shop buying back slices—it leaves more pizza for everyone else. Fewer shares mean each one is worth a little more. Companies that do this year after year usually have strong cash flow and confidence in their future.

This matters for investors because these companies often hold up better when the market gets rough. According to a study by the National Bureau of Economic Research, companies that regularly buy back stock tend to outperform the overall market, especially during downturns.

The Bullish Case: Why Some Investors Like These Stocks

  • Steady Returns: Companies that buy back shares often pay dividends too, giving investors regular income.
  • Shareholder Rewards: Buybacks can boost stock prices and show management’s confidence.
  • Resilience: These companies usually have strong balance sheets, which helps them weather tough times.
  • Examples: Best Buy has a 5% dividend yield and has raised its dividend for 13 years. Colgate-Palmolive, a “Dividend Aristocrat,” has raised payouts for 25 years and just announced another big buyback. Honeywell is spinning off its aerospace business to focus on automation and AI, with shares up 17% this year.

The Bearish Case: What Could Go Wrong?

  • Slower Growth: Some of these companies, like Best Buy, are facing sales slumps and changing consumer habits.
  • Not Always a Bargain: Stock buybacks only help if the company is healthy—buying back shares in tough times can backfire.
  • Market Risks: Big banks like JPMorgan Chase face risks from interest rate changes and tough regulations, even as they return money to shareholders.
  • Sector Changes: Honeywell’s big shift to automation is exciting, but it also comes with uncertainty.
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Recent Stats and What They Show

In 2023, U.S. companies spent over $1 trillion on stock buybacks, according to Yardeni Research. Historically, companies with long buyback records have outperformed the S&P 500 by about 2% per year, especially during market drops.

Investor Takeaway

  • Look for Consistency: Focus on companies with a decade or more of buybacks and steady dividends.
  • Diversify: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket—spread your investments across different sectors.
  • Watch for Red Flags: If a company is struggling with sales or taking on lots of debt, be careful.
  • Keep Up with News: Changes like Honeywell’s spin-off or leadership changes at Best Buy could affect stock performance.
  • Remember the Big Picture: Defensive stocks can help smooth the ride, but every investment carries risks. Stay patient and think long term.

For the full original report, see CNBC

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