The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled below the key 30,000 level on Thursday as investors worried the Federal Reserve’s more aggressive approach toward inflation would bring the economy into a recession.
The Dow had rallied on Wednesday after the Fed raised rates by the most since 1994, but reversed those gains and then some on Thursday, tumbling to the lowest level since January 2021.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 2.1%, or 650 points. The S&P 500 slipped 2.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite slid 3%.
The major averages entered Thursday’s session down 4.5%, 5.5% and 5%, respectively, for the week and well below record levels.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are both in bear market territory, down roughly 23% and 33% from their all-time highs in January and November, respectively. The Dow, meantime, is about 19% below its Jan. 5 all-time intraday high.
“It’s about time we exit this artificial world of predictable massive liquidity injections where everybody gets used to zero interest rates, where we do silly things whether it’s investing in parts of the market we shouldn’t be investing in or investing in the economy in ways that don’t make sense,” Allianz chief investment advisor Mohamed El-Erian told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday. “We are exiting that regime and it’s going to be bumpy.”
The Dow on Thursday traded below 30,000 for the first time since Jan. 4, 2021.The Dow first broke above that level for the first time in November 2020, as the emergence of Covid-19 vaccines and massive stimulus from the Fed fueled a broader market rally — led by tech shares — and took the major averages to then-record highs.
Breaking above the 30,000 mark put the Dow more than 60% above its pandemic closing low at the time. While 30,000 isn’t necessarily a technical level for the Dow, these round 1,000-point thresholds are seen by many on Wall Street as key psychological levels for the market.
Data out Thursday further indicated a dramatic slowdown in economic activity. Housing starts dropped 14% in May, topping the 2.6% decline expected by economists polled by Dow Jones. The Philadelphia Fed Business Index for June came in with a negative 3.3 reading, its first contraction since May 2020.
Tech shares moved lower after a bounce on Wednesday. Tesla, PayPal, Nvidia, Amazon and Netflix all slipped more than 3%. Travel stocks including United, Delta and Carnival also took a leg lower along with financial closely connected to economic growth.
“There is an astonishing level of tech selling right now,” wrote CNBC’s Jim Cramer in a tweet Thursday. “It is breathtaking to watch as sellers are sending the best techs down gigantically at 5 a.m.”
Markets initially liked the Fed’s plan to hike interest rates by 75 basis points and the potential additional hike of a similar magnitude. The Dow and S&P 500 on Wednesday snapped a five-day losing streaks and ended the session higher. The 30-stock benchmark added about 304 points, or 1%, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.46%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was the relative outperformer, rising 2.5%.
“Clearly, today’s 75 basis point increase is an unusually large one, and I do not expect moves of this size to be common,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said at a news conference following the decision t hike rates.
Market sentiment appeared to sour once again Thursday as other central banks around the globe adopted more aggressive policy stances and investors questioned whether the Fed can pull off a soft landing.
The Swiss National Bank overnight raised rates for the first time in 15 years. The Bank of England was set on Thursday to raise rates for the fifth straight time.
As stocks fell, the 10-year Treasury yield resumed its massive June run on Thursday and was last trading around 3.44% after ending May at 2.84%.
Rampant inflation, which is at the highest level in 40 years, has weighed on the major averages, as have fears around slowing economic growth and the possibility of a recession.
Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Michael Wilson warned that the inflation problem won’t be solved overnight.
“It also raises the risk of a recession because you’re bringing forward rate hikes even faster, and I don’t think it’s going to help the bond market,” he said on CNBC’s “Closing Bell.”
