Consumers and businesses are demonstrating a preference for caution

### Navigating the Current State of the Economy: Insights from Bank of America CEO

The state of the economy is always a topic of interest, especially for consumers and businesses looking to make informed decisions. Bank of America CEO, Brian Moynihan, provided some valuable insights at a recent financial conference in New York that shed light on the cautious approach many are taking due to factors like inflation and interest rates.

#### Slowing Down Spending Trends

Moynihan highlighted that both households and small to medium-sized businesses are displaying a more conservative approach to spending. Card payments, checks, and ATM withdrawals have seen a growth rate of around 3.5% this year, significantly lower than the nearly 10% observed in May 2023.

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#### Impact of Inflation and Borrowing Costs

With the Federal Reserve’s efforts to combat inflation through rate hikes, consumers and businesses are facing higher borrowing costs, impacting their purchasing power. This has led to a more subdued growth in spending overall, with certain sectors like travel and entertainment bucking the trend.

#### Looking Ahead

Moynihan indicated that inflation may take until the end of next year to stabilize and the Fed might start cutting interest rates later this year. Despite these challenges, he remains optimistic about the U.S. economy’s ability to avoid a recession and maintain a growth rate of around 2%.

#### Insights from Bank of America

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As the second-largest U.S. bank by assets, Bank of America has a unique vantage point on the economy. Moynihan’s observations on consumer behavior, business sentiment, and economic forecasts provide valuable insights for investors and individuals looking to navigate the current financial landscape.

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