China’s Stimulus Prospects Increase as PBOC Reduces Rates and Plans Briefing

China Prepares to Boost Economy with Financial Measures

In a move that has sparked speculation about potential efforts to stimulate economic growth, China recently announced plans for a rare briefing on the economy by three top financial regulators. This news comes on the heels of a cut to one of China’s short-term policy rates, signaling that authorities may be gearing up to take action.

Central bank governor Pan Gongsheng will be hosting a press conference to discuss financial support for economic development, alongside two other officials. Additionally, the People’s Bank of China lowered the 14-day reverse repurchase rate as part of a series of reductions that began in July.

These recent developments have heightened expectations for further rate cuts from the PBOC, particularly after the US Federal Reserve initiated rate cuts last week. The central bank had previously indicated that it was readying additional policies in response to disappointing economic data from August, which raised concerns about meeting China’s annual growth target of around 5%.

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Market indicators reflect this anticipation of monetary stimulus, with the yield on China’s 10-year government bonds hitting a new low of 2.03% and the PBOC raising its daily reference rate for the yuan. Analysis from Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management, suggests that additional easing measures like a reduction in the 7-day repo rate may be on the horizon.

Looking ahead, China has an upcoming opportunity to lower the cost of its one-year policy loans. Previous actions by the PBOC, such as cutting the seven-day reverse repo rate before reducing the medium-term lending facility, indicate a willingness to deploy a mix of tools to support the economy.

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The recent cut to the 14-day rate, ahead of the National Day Holiday, along with the injection of liquidity into the banking system, underscores China’s commitment to bolstering economic growth. However, experts like ANZ Chief Greater China Economist Raymond Yeung believe that a more comprehensive policy package may be necessary to reverse the current economic downturn.

As investors await further developments, it will be crucial to monitor how China’s financial regulators navigate the economic landscape and implement measures to support sustainable growth.

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