Welcome to Extreme Investor Network, where we bring you the latest insights and analysis on the stock market, trading, and all things Wall Street. In today’s blog post, we’ll be discussing the recent economic indicators that are showing signs of softening and how they are impacting the market.
June’s economic data has painted a picture of a cooling economy. ADP reported private payroll growth below expectations, while weekly jobless claims came in higher than forecast. The Institute for Supply Management’s services PMI unexpectedly contracted, registering 48.8% against an anticipated 52.8%. These indicators have raised concerns among investors about the health of the economy.
On the other hand, Tesla’s stock has continued its rally, heading for its seventh consecutive positive session – the longest winning streak of 2024. This rally has contributed to a bullish tone in the broader market, with technology stocks, particularly in the electric vehicle space, showing strength.
However, the market saw mixed sector performance. While leisure and hospitality led job gains, the unexpected contraction in the services sector weighed on related stocks. Bond yields have also declined, providing some support to equities as investors await the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June meeting.
The labor market is also showing signs of cooling, with initial jobless claims rising and continuing claims reaching the highest level since November 2021. ADP’s report showed private payrolls increasing by only 150,000 in June, below the expected 160,000.
Despite these mixed signals, the market outlook remains cautiously optimistic. Jim Paulsen, author of “Paulsen Perspectives,” suggests that if the Federal Reserve eases its monetary policy, it could trigger a broader rally. He notes that the current bull market is unique, having existed entirely under tightening Fed conditions.
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